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Match Finished
3-1
Sat, 16 May 2026
100%0%0%
15 MAY16 MAYFINISHED
Vote:
VOL. 0
Pregame prediction missed: X, result 1
Pregame Notes
1:35%X:39%2:26%
Community lean: No votes yet.
Recent form: Arouca 10-7 pts, last 5.
Win momentum: Arouca 3-2, last 5.
Unbeaten run: Arouca 4-3, last 5.
Loss control: Arouca 1-2, last 5.
Draw pressure: moderate, 2/10.
Goal trend: Arouca +4 vs Tondela -1.
Scoring edge: Arouca 10-6, last 5.
Defensive edge: Arouca 6 vs 7.
Pressure index: Arouca 17-12.
more hidden pregame signals.

Arouca vs Tondela Predictions - 16 May 2026

Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.

Last updated:

Match prediction guide

Arouca vs Tondela predictions cover Primeira Liga (Portugal), Regular Season - 34 on 16 May 2026. Kick-off is listed for Saturday, 16 May 2026 at 19:00 CEST. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. Because this is the predictions tab, the copy focuses on the pre-match view rather than live in-play swings after kick-off.

Prediction lean and vote split

The pre-match prediction split is Arouca 35%, Draw 39%, Tondela 26%, which keeps the matchup close to level rather than clearly favouring either side.

What can shape the matchup

Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, Arouca have taken 10 points while Tondela have taken 7. That comes from Arouca taking 3 wins and Tondela taking 2 wins in that span. Goal trend sits at Arouca +4 and Tondela -1.

Season and schedule context add season pace at Arouca 1.24 points per game versus Tondela 0.82, venue split at 1.47 home points per game against 0.88 away points per game, and rest days at Arouca 4.9 and Tondela 4.9. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.

Recent head-to-head context lists Arouca 2 recent H2H wins, Tondela 1 recent H2H win, and 1 draw, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.

Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at Arouca 6.9 versus Tondela 7 and clean-sheet rate at 21% against 21%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.

Prediction trend

The prediction trend contains 16 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.