Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.
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St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes predictions cover Major League Soccer (USA), Regular Season - 10 on 26 Apr 2026. Kick-off is listed for Sunday, 26 April 2026 at 02:30 CEST. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. Because this is the predictions tab, the copy focuses on the pre-match view rather than live in-play swings after kick-off.
The pre-match prediction split is St. Louis City 6%, Draw 26%, San Jose Earthquakes 68%, giving San Jose Earthquakes the clearest lean before the other matchup factors are considered.
Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, St. Louis City have taken 13 points while San Jose Earthquakes have taken 4. That comes from St. Louis City taking 4 wins and San Jose Earthquakes taking 1 win in that span. Goal trend sits at St. Louis City +7 and San Jose Earthquakes -4.
Season and schedule context add season pace at St. Louis City 1.47 points per game versus San Jose Earthquakes 1.94 and venue split at 2 home points per game against 2.38 away points per game. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.
Recent head-to-head context lists St. Louis City 5 recent H2H wins, San Jose Earthquakes 1 recent H2H win, and 0 draws, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.
Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at St. Louis City 9.4 versus San Jose Earthquakes 11.4 and clean-sheet rate at 18% against 29%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.
The prediction trend contains 59 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.