Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.
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San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City predictions cover Major League Soccer (USA), Regular Season - 19 on 16 Aug 2026. Kick-off is listed for Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 04:30 CEST. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. The page is built to give a pre-match read before team news, odds movement and late updates can change the picture.
The current prediction split is San Jose Earthquakes 7%, Draw 31%, St. Louis City 62%, giving St. Louis City the clearest lean before the other matchup factors are considered.
Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, San Jose Earthquakes have taken 4 points while St. Louis City have taken 13. That comes from San Jose Earthquakes taking 1 win and St. Louis City taking 4 wins in that span. Goal trend sits at San Jose Earthquakes -4 and St. Louis City +7.
Season and schedule context add season pace at San Jose Earthquakes 1.94 points per game versus St. Louis City 1.47, venue split at 1.56 home points per game against 1 away points per game, and rest days at San Jose Earthquakes 21 and St. Louis City 21.1. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.
Recent head-to-head context lists San Jose Earthquakes 1 recent H2H win, St. Louis City 5 recent H2H wins, and 0 draws, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.
Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at San Jose Earthquakes 11.4 versus St. Louis City 9.4 and clean-sheet rate at 29% against 18%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.
The prediction trend contains 4 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.
