Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.
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San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas predictions cover Major League Soccer (USA), Regular Season - 14 on 17 May 2026. Kick-off is listed for Sunday, 17 May 2026 at 04:30 CEST. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. Because this is the predictions tab, the copy focuses on the pre-match view rather than live in-play swings after kick-off.
The pre-match prediction split is San Jose Earthquakes 46%, Draw 36%, FC Dallas 18%, giving San Jose Earthquakes the clearest lean before the other matchup factors are considered.
Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, San Jose Earthquakes have taken 4 points while FC Dallas have taken 8. That comes from San Jose Earthquakes taking 1 win and FC Dallas taking 2 wins in that span. Goal trend sits at San Jose Earthquakes -5 and FC Dallas +1.
Season and schedule context add season pace at San Jose Earthquakes 1.83 points per game versus FC Dallas 1.5 and venue split at 1.56 home points per game against 1.56 away points per game. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.
Recent head-to-head context lists San Jose Earthquakes 2 recent H2H wins, FC Dallas 2 recent H2H wins, and 2 draws, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.
Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at San Jose Earthquakes 10.6 versus FC Dallas 8.9 and clean-sheet rate at 28% against 22%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.
The prediction trend contains 8 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.