Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.
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Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes predictions cover MLS (USA), Round of 16 on 27 Nov 2026. Kick-off is listed for Friday, 27 November 2026 at 22:00 CET. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. The page is built to give a pre-match read before team news, odds movement and late updates can change the picture.
The current prediction split is Houston Dynamo 32%, Draw 40%, San Jose Earthquakes 28%, which keeps the matchup close to level rather than clearly favouring either side.
Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, Houston Dynamo have taken 5 points while San Jose Earthquakes have taken 5. That comes from Houston Dynamo taking 1 win and San Jose Earthquakes taking 1 win in that span. Goal trend sits at Houston Dynamo -2 and San Jose Earthquakes -4.
Season and schedule context add season pace at Houston Dynamo 1.5 points per game versus San Jose Earthquakes 1.53, venue split at 1.71 home points per game against 1.53 away points per game, and rest days at Houston Dynamo 19.9 and San Jose Earthquakes 19.9. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.
Recent head-to-head context lists Houston Dynamo 2 recent H2H wins, San Jose Earthquakes 2 recent H2H wins, and 2 draws, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.
Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at Houston Dynamo 7.6 versus San Jose Earthquakes 9.3 and clean-sheet rate at 38% against 21%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.
The prediction trend contains 4 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.