Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.
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Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls predictions cover Major League Soccer (USA), Regular Season - 12 on 9 May 2026. Kick-off is listed for Saturday, 9 May 2026 at 20:30 CEST. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. Because this is the predictions tab, the copy focuses on the pre-match view rather than live in-play swings after kick-off.
The pre-match prediction split is Chicago Fire 64%, Draw 29%, New York Red Bulls 7%, giving Chicago Fire the clearest lean before the other matchup factors are considered.
Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, Chicago Fire have taken 9 points while New York Red Bulls have taken 7. That comes from Chicago Fire taking 3 wins and New York Red Bulls taking 2 wins in that span. Goal trend sits at Chicago Fire +1 and New York Red Bulls -2.
Season and schedule context add season pace at Chicago Fire 1.71 points per game versus New York Red Bulls 1.39 and venue split at 2 home points per game against 1.22 away points per game. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.
Recent head-to-head context lists Chicago Fire 3 recent H2H wins, New York Red Bulls 2 recent H2H wins, and 1 draw, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.
Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at Chicago Fire 10.8 versus New York Red Bulls 10.3 and clean-sheet rate at 35% against 6%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.
The prediction trend contains 16 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.