Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.
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The predictions tab for Italy vs Northern Ireland covers World Cup - Qualification Europe, Semi-finals on 26 Mar 2026. Kick-off is listed for Thursday, 26 March 2026 at 20:45 CET. It keeps the locked pregame state for this matchup rather than live in-play changes.
The locked pregame split is Italy 55%, Draw 32%, Northern Ireland 13%, so the lean points to Italy.
Last-five form reads Italy 10 points versus Northern Ireland 7. That comes from Italy taking 3 wins and Northern Ireland taking 2 wins in that span. Goal trend sits at Italy +1 and Northern Ireland -2.
Season context adds season pace at Italy 2.25 points per game versus Northern Ireland 1.5, venue split at 2.25 home points per game against 1 away points per game, and rest days at Italy 130 and Northern Ireland 129 to the pregame read.
Head-to-head context in the prediction snapshot lists Italy 2 recent H2H wins, Northern Ireland 0 recent H2H wins, and 1 draw.
Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at Italy 12.4 versus Northern Ireland 5.4 and clean-sheet rate at 50% against 29%.
The stored pregame trend contains 91 tracked points for this matchup before the current predictions view.