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Match Finished
3-1
Thu, 17 Feb 2022
60%29%11%
23 JUN24 JUN17 FEB
Vote:
VOL. 0
Pregame prediction hit: 1
Pregame Notes
1:60%X:29%2:11%
Community lean: No votes yet.
Recent form: Marseille 7-3 pts, last 5.
Win momentum: Marseille 2-1, last 5.
Unbeaten run: Marseille 3-1, last 5.
Loss control: Marseille 2-4, last 5.
Draw pressure: low, 1/10.
Goal trend: Marseille -2 vs Qarabag -13.
Scoring edge: Qarabag 8-5, last 5.
Defensive edge: Marseille 7 vs 21.
Pressure index: Marseille 26-15.
more hidden pregame signals.

Marseille vs Qarabag Predictions - 17 Feb 2022

Pregame prediction state, community vote lean, matchup drivers, and trend context.

Last updated:

Match prediction guide

Marseille vs Qarabag predictions cover UEFA Europa Conference League, Knockout Round Play-offs on 17 Feb 2022. Kick-off is listed for Thursday, 17 February 2022 at 21:00 CET. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. Because this is the predictions tab, the copy focuses on the pre-match view rather than live in-play swings after kick-off.

Prediction lean and vote split

The pre-match prediction split is Marseille 60%, Draw 29%, Qarabag 11%, giving Marseille the clearest lean before the other matchup factors are considered.

What can shape the matchup

Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, Marseille have taken 7 points while Qarabag have taken 3. That comes from Marseille taking 2 wins and Qarabag taking 1 win in that span. Goal trend sits at Marseille -2 and Qarabag -13.

Season and schedule context add season pace at Marseille 2.38 points per game versus Qarabag 1.79. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.

Recent head-to-head context lists Marseille 2 recent H2H wins, Qarabag 0 recent H2H wins, and 0 draws, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.

Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at Marseille 3.7 versus Qarabag 2.2 and clean-sheet rate at 38% against 36%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.

Prediction trend

The prediction trend contains 91 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.