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Middlesbrough vs Southampton predictions cover Championship (England), Semi-finals on 9 May 2026. Kick-off is listed for Saturday, 9 May 2026 at 13:30 CEST. This preview brings together the prediction lean, community voting, recent form, head-to-head notes and team context in one place. Because this is the predictions tab, the copy focuses on the pre-match view rather than live in-play swings after kick-off.

The pre-match prediction split is Middlesbrough 25%, Draw 38%, Southampton 37%, which keeps the matchup close to level rather than clearly favouring either side.

Recent form gives the first matchup clue: over the last five, Middlesbrough have taken 5 points while Southampton have taken 9. That comes from Middlesbrough taking 1 win and Southampton taking 2 wins in that span. Goal trend sits at Middlesbrough +2 and Southampton +3.

Season and schedule context add season pace at Middlesbrough 1.65 points per game versus Southampton 1.75, venue split at 1.83 home points per game against 1.57 away points per game, and rest days at Middlesbrough 7 and Southampton 7. These details help separate a simple prediction percentage from the rhythm each team brings into the match.

Recent head-to-head context lists Middlesbrough 2 recent H2H wins, Southampton 1 recent H2H win, and 3 draws, which adds rivalry history without treating older meetings as more important than current form.

Underlying team metrics add chance creation score at Middlesbrough 10.2 versus Southampton 10.4 and clean-sheet rate at 30% against 26%, giving the prediction a check against chance creation, defensive resistance and match-control signals.

The prediction trend contains 16 trend points, showing how the pre-match view developed before the current prediction read.